Almost every pollstar underestimated the INDIA alliance. One possible explanation for this could be their non-scientific approach in gathering data.When counting started on June 4, it was evident, and they lost people’s trust by blatantly missing patterns. The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) was expected to win 350–400 seats, according to pollsters including Chanakya, ABP-CVoter, and India Today-Axis My India, to mention a few. Additional pollsters predicted that the alliance will win more than 350 seats. Exit polls that predicted a landslide victory had drastically overstated the NDA’s numbers.Exit polls have been proven to be inaccurate before. Exit surveys understated the number of NDA members in 2014 and 2016. While the Indian National Congress-led United Progressive partnership (UPA) only managed to win 59 seats in 2014, the partnership took home 336 seats, with the remaining 149 going to other candidates.The tale remained unchanged in 2019. The results were accurately predicted by just two pollsters: Chanakya of News 24-Today and India Today-Axis My India.
In 2019, the story was the same. Only two pollsters — India Today-Axis My India and News 24-Today’s Chanakya — got the numbers right.